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AI Has Free Will? (ft. Sabine Hossenfelder)
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The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast

AI Has Free Will? (ft. Sabine Hossenfelder)

BK

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Brian Keating

SH

Speaker

Sabine Hossenfelder

BK

Speaker

Brian Keating

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Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder challenges the notion of free will, arguing it doesn't exist and exploring its implications for AI and consciousness. She discusses determinism, agency in humans and machines, and whether artificial intelligence could ever experience emotions or genuine insight into reality, offering a thought-provoking perspective on future technology and philosophy.

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Highlights

“The End of Free Will: "free will doesn't exist.”
— Brian Keating
“How can we all be determined by physics, yet live as if we're making genuine choices?”
— Brian Keating
“The Free Will Paradox: "They all say free will doesn't exist. And yet I say, have you ever met somebody who acts like they believe that they don't have free will? And they all say no. So how can it be that we don't have free will, but everybody acts like we have free will?”
— Brian Keating
“Making Peace with Determinism: "I finally eventually managed to shift my point of view on myself basically and make made peace with knowing that everything is determined up to this random element.”
— Sabine Hossenfelder
“Once we have robots walking around, they're going to collect their own data, they're going to create their own models of the world, but much more efficiently than we could have done.”
— Sabine Hossenfelder

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Brian Keating

Does free will exist? It's a question that's haunted philosophers for centuries. But physicist Sabine Hassenfelder has a provocative answer that might just disturb you. He says, free will doesn't exist.

Sabine Hossenfelder

People just go, what do you mean by free will? And I was trying to say, well, it doesn't really matter, because what I'm talking about is, like, what do we know about the laws of physics? And why is it so hard to make sense of this, like, on a personal level, if you know that your brain is made of particles and we know the laws that those particles are.

Brian Keating

Ruled by, everything is determined by the laws of physics. But here's the paradox that's fascinated me. I've talked to Sam Harris, Dan Dennett, Robert Sapolsky, all brilliant minds who agree that free will is an illusion. Yet when I asked them if they've ever encountered someone who acts like they don't have free will, they all said no. How can we all be determined by physics, yet live as if we're making genuine choices? This isn't some abstract philosophical exercise.

Brian Keating

No.

Brian Keating

Sabine's insight has real implications for artificial intelligence, quantum computing. In the future of consciousness, she explains why I may already have the same kind of agency that we do and why quantum computers could reveal that we fundamentally misunderstand the nature of reality.

Brian Keating

Sabina, it's so great to see you again after more than a year. I don't think we talked very much in 2024, so it's great to see you.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Good to see you, Brian.

Brian Keating

You've been had a wonderful video yesterday, day before, about this thought that changed your life. And to me, I was a little depressed because it seemed to say that, you know, everything is phys and everything is determined, and therefore, you know, you should maybe naively not be happy, but you turned out to be very happy. So can you explain what determinism is? Because, Sabina, I've talked to everybody. I've talked to Sam Harris, I've talked to you, I've talked to Dan Dennett, the late Dan Dennett, his final podcast. I've talked to Robert Sapolsky. They all say free will doesn't exist. And yet I say, have you ever met somebody who acts like they believe that they don't have free will? And they all say no. So how can it be that we don't have free will, but everybody acts like we have free will?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well. Well, it all depends on what you mean by free will. So if you watch my video, you'll have noticed that I avoided using the word this. Is why I was talking about determinism, because otherwise people just go, what do you mean by free will? And I was trying to say what doesn't really matter? Because what I'm talking about is like, what do we know about the laws of physics? And why is it so hard to make sense of this? Like on a personal level, if you know that your brain is made of particles and we know the laws that those particles are ruled by. Right. So where's my place in this now? You said I seem to be happy about it, but really it was more like I was unhappy before. So I was trying to solve a problem and I finally succeeded. So, so what I talked about in the video was that I finally eventually managed to shift my point of view on myself basically and make made peace with knowing that everything is determined up to this random element.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And I read Sam Harris book, which, you know, this, it's only like 460 pages or something. And I agreed with everything except for the one paragraph he wrote about physics. So. But yeah, otherwise it, you know, I think he's right. I think what the disagreement mostly is about is what people even mean by free will, which is what. Which is exactly why I don't like to talk, talk about it. I just think it's a nonsense term. Like even the combination of free and will doesn't really make sense.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like so, so if you think you're your will determines your decisions, then it's not free. Like that's the entire point of having a will, that you, you make the decision. Right. So, so, so what I was trying to get at in the video is that I began to think of myself as an information processing thing basically that goes through the world. And I think it's, it's made me more aware the information that I consume and how much it affects me. So that was my point. And so of course this entire question of free will is becoming more and more relevant with artificial intelligence that is rapidly coming into the world more and more powerful and people starting to ask like, does it have free will? At which point do we agree that it has free will and is worth protecting on some level?

Brian Keating

Sam Harris says it will have free will or already does. So how do you react to that? I mean, how can you say that? You know, free will as a concept doesn't exist. When we think of AI, at least as you know, for now, as, you know, as running on GPUs and with large language models with billions of tokens, how can it be possible that it could be even said to have that. If, if, if we're determined, then certainly the determiner of the programmer of the AI must, must be in some super, you know, superposition, you know, super above the AI level. Do you agree with him, first of all, that I can be said to have free will modulo the fact that we can't define it?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, well, I say I doesn't have free will exactly the same way that we don't have free will, because in both cases it's, it's determined. But I think there is still at this point a measurable degree of differ. So I think the most compatible definition of free will that I know is the idea that it's got something to do with agency. You have a system. How much of the behavior of the system is determined by the external inputs and how much of it comes from some internal complicated deliberation about what's going on. And I think it's, you know, even if you can't, you know, rigorously quantify it, like, I mean, you know, philosophers, right, it's not like they write down an equation and then say you can calculate your amount of free will using this formula. I mean, that would be nice. But we're not quite there yet.

Sabine Hossenfelder

But. So even on this vague level, you can say, yeah, I think humans have more free will than a phone. And AI at the moment is somewhere in between, right? It's clearly doing more than a phone where you push a button and it pops up a window or something. It's not that simple. But it's also much more constrained than humans because it's still very apparent what kind of prompt they're working off. Like they're not really doing their own thing. So they're doing a few of those things. Which is why philosophers, I think, are arguing over it.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like with AI agents coming online, they're setting their own goals and producing a plan. And then they work off this plan and they think about the plan and then they revise it and it's going to get more complicated along those lines. And so I think it's a valid question to ask, but personally I'd say, like, it's a very, very low level of free will.

Brian Keating

I wonder if you could say in German for me what Einstein said in 1907. He said the following was his happiest thought, that here he is on the finger puppet level. He said if he was in free fall, that he would experience no gravitational force. Can you say it was the happiest thought of my life? Because that's what he said. That's what he called that realization the Einstein equivalence. Can you say it was the happiest thought of my life in German?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Glucose to danke minus limbs. So, so now it might be that I mistranslated back something that was mistranslated into English in the first place. So I'm not exactly sure that this is the right quote, but you said something along those lines for sure. Yeah. And so you want me to explain the, the elevator experiment or, well, thought experiment?

Brian Keating

No, not really. I want to, I want to pivot to what would it mean for a computer or an AI to have a happy thought? And furthermore, could an AI have such a thought because it doesn't have a body? And so we wouldn't know what that sensation of freefall that Einstein visualized and felt viscerally, how can a computer have a happy thought? And how could it visualize what freefall feels like in order to replicate and be an AI Ae, you know, an artificial intelligent Albert Einstein.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, well, that's a very good point. So like there's this question, will AI ever become truly intelligent without actually having a body? Like, do you actually need to put it into a robot? There are two answers that I have to this. One thing is you can simulate, simulate a robot walking around in the virtual reality. And, and so it doesn't actually need a physical robot, just like a simulation of it, if you see what I mean. And, and people are already doing this. Like this is a thing like if, if you want to, if you want to train your robot, you don't, you don't let it walk stairs up and down for a billion years. You, you squeeze that billion years into a few days on a supercompute and let it learn to walk stairs in a virtual reality. So that, that's already, already a thing.

Sabine Hossenfelder

The other thing is that I, I gen, generally I believe it to be possible, like you could reach human level intelligence with the lucky thoughts and, you know, genuine insights about reality without the direct sensory input from physical reality. But I believe it would take a very long time because if you think about it like, it also took humans a very long time to, to become as intelligent as we are now. Right? So any, this is what you want to avoid. You, you want to get that fast, right? And so this is why I believe that the most likely way we'll reach human level intelligence is by some sort of access to the real world so that they can learn what it actually means to interact with something. Or if you want to use the causal model approach, you need to be able to interfere with certain causal relations, to figure out how they work. And we basically do this from the day we're born or even before that, who knows? And so I think this is going to be a real game changer. You know, once we have robots walking around, they're going to collect their own data, they're going to create their own models of the world, but much more efficiently than we could have done. You also asked about happiness.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, can AIs have an emotion? Well, again, at the moment, I think the answer is no, not in any reasonable meaning of the word. But you always have to ask, like, what do we actually mean by this? Like, so, so for us, happiness evolved as a reward function, right? It's the, it's the response to doing something, right? So, so you, you got a good meal, that's good. It's going to help you survive. Dopamine.

Brian Keating

Yeah, the dopamine hit. We have to have robot. Robotamine or something for the robots to have, right?

Sabine Hossenfelder

And it's, and, and of course, AI already has a reward function, right? So it has the, it has the root of it because it needs that to learn. And the newer models are also learning to improve themselves by way of a proper reward function. And I think at some point that'll be very similar to a particular emotion, in this case happiness. And then you can ask, well, what about all the other emotions? And then, you know, we have to talk about, like, will they actually have different sort of. Yeah, pain. Right. And will they have different emotions? Like, will AI have emotions that we don't have that we can't even relate to? I don't know. I have no idea.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, it's, it's also. You could also ask this question about aliens, right? So if aliens have emotions, do they have the same emotions? Do they have different emotions that we won't be able to relate to? Well, who knows? I have no idea.

Brian Keating

What do you, what do you make of all the alien, you know, kind of sightings that are in the zeitgeist as, as you might say, what do you make of these, you know, claims by respected, you know, military personnel, mostly in America, by the way. But what do you make of it? As a physicist, I mean, wouldn't you be happy if this were tr. Could learn the laws of the 23rd century today?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Totally. Like, I would love to see intelligent life from other planets within my lifetime because they've got to have, like, if they manage to travel here, they must have more advanced technology than we have. Like, they could probably help us solve many Problems, answer many questions, and so on and so forth. I was just, you know, chatting about this with Kurt the other day. It's a difficult topic because I think that a lot of what people talk about is incredibly flaky and it's nonsense. And on the other hand, I think we shouldn't just dismiss everything because if we make a mistake with that, it's going to be a huge mistake. And I think it's. You know, I think it's actually possible that there's intelligent life out there and it sends some probes into the galaxy like we are planning to do, and maybe one of those arrived here and fell into the ocean.

Sabine Hossenfelder

You know, that. That seems totally possible to me. That doesn't mean that I actually believe we found one. So. And so I'm a little bit unhappy with the situation that we're in in which everyone who talks about UFOs or UAPs or whatever you want to call it now, you know, it kind of moves themselves into that because I think we need to take this more seriously. Also, I have to say, if you listen to any of these Congress or Senate debates that they did, there's this one guy from NASA. The guy from NASA, every time, basically he gets to say something. He basically says, oh, and by the way, we need more funding.

Brian Keating

He got the assignment. Right. And actually, speaking of assignments, you have this wonderful product or service, actually it's free, called Quiz With It. Right. I want to ask you about AI education. First of all, do you use AI in Quiz With It? Is there going to be a job for people like me in 40 years? A professor, you know, standing up in front of a bunch of students with a piece of rock and scraping on another piece of rock, and then they're listening and. Or is this going to be my avatar talking to their avatar? Or better yet, you're a better explainer than I am. Why can't they take quantum mechanics with you instead of with me? Or how about they take it with Bohr, Schrodinger, you know, Heisenberg, et cetera, or learn GR from good old Einstein himself? So what's the future of education in the age of AI? Will professors like me have a job? Please say yes.

Brian Keating

And how do you use Quiz with It? How does Quiz with it use AI and give a little plug or talk about Quiz with It, please, in case my audience.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Okay, yeah. So Quiz with it is a platform that I developed together with a team of software engineers. And yes, we do use AI. We have a GPT link. And so the way that it works is that it'll automatically create questions with answers on any topic that you enter. So you can just enter the topic and then you'll get questions with answers, or you can be more specific about it and you can actually enter some text of some, I don't know, blog post or something. You can also just enter the link and will pull down the text automatically. Or you can, and this is what I do.

Sabine Hossenfelder

You can use a YouTube video and we'll, we'll pull down the transcript and then we'll generate questions from this and you can quiz yourself on it, whether you actually understood it, whether you remember it correctly. And so the reason I did this was that, I mean, there are lots of quiz apps out there, but none of them actually did what I wanted to do. I wanted users to be able to collect points from taking multiple of my quizzes and also for other creators to be able to do, do the same. So that was basically the idea. Now there's this broader question of what's AI going to do to education? And I think that's a really big topic at the moment because that's really a sector where AI can have a huge impact. And it's already having an impact. And the question is, like, where will it go? I mean, at the moment it's very hard to tell. I think in the end it'll come down to how much do we value human interaction? Right? So, like, I mean, so, so this example you had, like, can students learn physics from Einstein or Bohr? I think the answer is probably no, because we don't have enough material to, to train the AIs on.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, there are only so many recordings from a century ago.

Brian Keating

Oh, but we have, I mean, Einstein wrote a million, 2 million words. I mean, I have Galileo's, all of his writings on the dialogue, which is about a hundred, eight hundred thousand words. We recorded an audiobook with Carlo Rovelli and Frank Wilczek and others. There's plenty of written material. Right. We'll never get Galileo's voice, but I don't think we need it.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, but when these people write their academic papers, that's not like 100 who they really were. So like, like if you write a paper and then you were to talk about it, it's not exactly the same. This is what I mean. Like, so we can try to reconstruct an approximation to who Einstein might have been, but I think it wouldn't be even close to the real thing because we're just missing too much. Like most of the real Einstein is Lost because we don't have any recordings of it. And the people who knew him personally are dead and that's that. And it's a shame, but this is probably somewhat tangential because who would know the difference anyway, right?

Brian Keating

And am I really myself when I'm teaching? I mean, I'm, you know, I'm different than I am with my kids. Right? I mean, what is the whole you. And, but the core question I have is, you know, is, is this going to take one of the jobs? You know, people are always worried about AI taking jobs away from people, from actual, you know, human people. And it seems to me that this would be one of the simplest things to take away. Right? I mean, my students sit there in class and I do things differently because I do experiments and I do flipping, you know, where we solve problems together and I work around with them. But, but you know, there are other professors. Don't let them use AI. I make them use AI because I think it's going to be a tool.

Brian Keating

It's like not letting them use, you know, a computer was. Or a spreadsheet, you know, 20 years ago. It's crippling them. And so, but, but the question is, you know, if we could have this a. You know, these education companies that are basically what universities are. I mean, the third most important thing that universities do, according to Isadore Rabbi, was, you know, to teach. Like it was getting fun or doing research, getting money. We'll talk about that later, I hope with modern academia in trouble.

Brian Keating

But, but yeah, I mean, why, why learn, you know, just quantum mechanics? Forget about like, do I get their whole self? Do I get their whole personnel? Of course not. But, but can I learn quantum mechanics from an AI holographic? You know, I mean, think, think big. What is it going to look like in 20 years? I mean, do we need professors to teach? Why can't we just do research?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, I, I think it's definitely going to take over a lot of these education jobs. And I mean, look, I'm, I'm sure you'. And I mean, I've seen you, you know, your examples in your videos. Like, I've never been in your lecture, but I can kind of extrapolate from that. And I'm pretty sure you do great lectures. Many of my professors were not particularly good and I'm pretty sure I'd have been better off with even today's AIs just because they would have been more, you know, more personalized in some sense. They would have been more attentive to work what, what problems I am facing rather than just, you know, writing down their lectures and, and, and not caring if anyone even listens. And, and, and so this is why I, I think that there's for real, you know, a lot of those people who don't really care about teaching and, and, you know, do it because they have to, are going to be replaced with AI.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And, but I mean, there is the question, like, how much does this human element matter? And I think that there's going to be like a long tail where humans can do things that are irreplaceable for a long time. So I think, like, personally, you don't need to worry about it, but maybe some people have to worry about it.

Brian Keating

I kind of want to parlay that into a question about what AI can't do in a certain sense or may not be able to do. And I'd love to get your opinion about this. So there's this phenomenon called lock in. I don't know. Have you ever heard of lock in? It's basically the first technology. Oops, sorry.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, right. You mean computer development.

Brian Keating

Yeah, so that's in computer development. There's also, you know, there's an example, allegedly the space shuttle, for example, the Hubble Deep field was only taken because of the width of two horses, rear ends. Have you ever heard this described before, Sabina?

Sabine Hossenfelder

No.

Brian Keating

Okay, we'll see if you, if you think I'm a good teacher after this. Okay, so the original chariots and roads in Rome were governed by the width of the horses that were the form of locomotion. Right. A chariot would be pulled by two horses and that eventually became the width of a standard rail gauge on a train. So the gauge is the separation of rail tracks. Right. In the United States, when they were building the space shuttle, the rocket boosters that would launch the space shuttle, the solid rocket boosters back then were made in Utah, which is in the western US and they had to be transported to Florida, where the space shuttle was launched from. To get there, the engineers knew they had to get through three tunnels, three train tunnels.

Brian Keating

And so the width of the rocket, which determines the specific impulse that it can impart, which determines the maximum altitude of the space shuttle, which carried the Hubble telescope, can be traced to the width of a horse's butt back in Roman times. Okay, so that's an example of lock in. The technology the Hubble Deep Field has nothing to, but it was set by something different. I want to ask you the following question. We have very good LLMs and GPUs they're married together. It's beautiful. They're doing something very special. Is there a danger in that they're so good at what they do that they're only going to be good at what they do like that.

Brian Keating

And they're not going to be able to do specific tasks other than language perhaps very well. Because they were originally designed for video games. I mean GPUs were designed for video games and the neural nets were designed for mimicking human brain activity. And I've got the brain of one of my arch competitors here. This. Yeah, this is someone's brain that we don't like. But, but are we prisoning our imprisoning ourselves because of the success of GPUs +LLMs, is it going to limit our ability to do new physics for example?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well, so there are actually, I mean people are producing processes that are, are particularly well adapted to neural nets and they're actually called npus I think neuroprocessing units. And you can push this even further. Like people try to actually how the human brain works by actually using physically changeable connections to encode the weights and so on. So there's a whole industry behind this. So I don't direct see this worry, but I do see the worry. This locked in issue is often a problem if you, if you look at the basis, it's an economic problem like so because you know, if you want to transport this thing, you're not going to rebuild the entire railroad system and all the tunnels like you could do it, but that'd be insane. And we have the same problem like for example, why is it so hard to get off fossil fuels? Whereas because our entire economy is built around it. Like this saws a locked in problem.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And you could say well it would have been more sensible to build battery powered cars much earlier, but we didn't. So we're stuck with it. And now we'll have to invest a lot of money to get out of it and onto a bigger maximum basically. So yeah, this problem is everywhere. So if you look at the current large language models, they're facing a big problem there which is that they've invested like hundreds of millions of dollars into building these models. So that makes it very hard to say, okay, let's forget about large language models, we need to do something entirely different because then they'll have to start all over. So they have a huge bias on trying to tweak these models a little bit to make them a little bit better to get to local maximum. If you see the Visual I have in mind, whereas you might have a much higher maximum after you've crossed the valley and put in a lot of money.

Sabine Hossenfelder

But I think that this is going to be a problem for specific companies. So what I think is going to happen is you're going to have new Companies which develop AIs based on a new system. We can speculate about exactly what this would be and then they're going to overtake the large language models very, very quickly at some point. We're not at this point and it might be a few years off, but I think that's what's going to happen. So it's quite interesting like, so no one really knows like what GPT5 is actually going to be like. So I've just heard people say it's going to be different than the other ones. So no one really knows what they're working on. Right.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And so also if you look at companies like Meta, Google, DeepMind, they're actually doing a lot of different things. So I think they're risk averse. So I think they see it coming that large language models aren't going to get us all the way to AGI. So we need something else. And they're trying to figure out what that something else is.

Brian Keating

You made a wonderful video recently about quantum computing and I wonder if I could provoke you to respond to this kind of snide comment that I like to make about quantum computing, that quantum computers are great at simulating quantum computers and breaking encryption. But essentially those two use cases which were predicted by Feynman and others back in the 80s, between those two narrow use cases, do you think the promises of quantum supremacy and other things are overblown? Or do you think that there's still potential that justifies the hype and that they're not, as I call them, two trick ponies.

Sabine Hossenfelder

I think it's always useful to look at who puts money into these things. And I think it's quite telling that there are lots of banks and similar insurance companies and so on interested in that kind of stuff. And why is that? Because one of the applications that they want to put on a quantum computer are some of those optimization problems that you could use for asset management where they say, well, we could actually invest our money much better if only we had enough computing power. But these problems are too complex, complicated to solve, therefore we need a quantum computer. And so the thing is that in this trading world, even small computing advantages can make tens of billions of dollars in difference. And I think that is driving a lot of Interest. And you know, I've never actually worked myself on quantum computing. I just follow this from the periphery.

Sabine Hossenfelder

I think it's not totally crazy. There's always the question, like in practice, how much of a difference would it actually make? So no one knows. But I think they see the possibility that you can make a lot of money with it. And this is why they're interested in it, because they want to be the first to do it before everybody else can also do it. But will we actually get there? Well, that's a different question.

Brian Keating

So speaking of things that are in the present rather and in the future, I recently hosted Eric Weinstein at UCSD talking about his theory of geometric unity. I know you've talked with Kurt Jumongo recently. He did an interview and he did a multi hour exposition of it. And then, you know, we're speaking in June, but. But you know, a couple weeks ago he spoke with Sean Carroll and Piers Morgan and they had a very heated debate. First of all, what do you make of this, like physics being discussed as debates? I've been asked to debate people like Terrence Howard, the actor who's gotten a lot of fame for things like one times one equals two and other phenomena. What do you think? Is there a point of debate? I mean, we have peer review and then people like Eric will kind of rail against peer review. And so it sort of sets them in this insulated cage where it's hard for them to get credibility outside of their own kind of inner circle of cheerleaders.

Brian Keating

But what do you make of this excitement about theories of everything? We don't even have a grand unified theory, right? We don't have a theory that unites the three stronger forces, let alone own a theory of everything. What do you make of this quest for the theories of everything? Is this some macho thing that people are concerned with? Or is there something really important about the approach to having multiple approaches like Peter White or Garrett Lisi or Eric Weinstein or Stephen Wolfram?

Sabine Hossenfelder

So I think these are two separate questions. The first one is what do we make of this debate culture? And the other thing is how serious are we to take theories or everything? So generally I like this debate idea because personally I want to see more debate about scientific topics. I think this is something that science has been missing for a long time. You know, like this public presence where people actually argue about science, you know, on a level that hopefully to some extent the general person can understand. Like the way that we argue about other things or about sports or politics or whatnot so science has been missing this for a long time and I'm very happy to see that this is coming. And you know, I try to contribute my own little share to that. What I'm not so happy about is the topics that they pick for this. And this brings me to the second part of your questions, like, what do I make of all this theory of everything stuff? So, I mean, it is an interesting question and arguably that attracts some attention, but I think we're overstressing this.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, personally, I think it'd be more worthwhile to talk about other topics every once in a while. Like, so, for example, I talk a lot about nuclear fusion, talk a lot about quantum computing. There are other topics in physics and science overall than this theory of everything.

Brian Keating

Yeah, it does seem to get a lot of attention. I also get a lot of emails about those, you know, kind of theories of everything thing. And I've stopped. I've basically started charging. If people want to ask me questions, fine, you can ask me questions. But I charge, you know, $1,000 an hour and that usually weeds them out or it makes it very profitable and I send the money to charity. That's my, my new thing. When somebody has a 10 subscriber YouTube channel, I'll come on it, but they have to donate a thousand dollars to do research.

Brian Keating

Speaking of research, Sabina, I want to ask you, you're a theorist. Our mutual friend Lenny Susskind, he has written a book called the Theoretical Minimum, a series of books about the. The minimum amount of information a theorist should know to be a physicist. I want to ask you a different question. To your students or people that treat you like a mentor and a professor, what would you say is the experimental minimum? What should be the minimum amount of information that a bright theoretical graduate student, what should she know about the experimental techniques, technology, et cetera, say, in your field? My field, et cetera.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Okay, you just expect me to answer this question like this, Like I'm going to spit out list with 10,000 words like, like an AI or something. We actually did have several experimental lessons on, you know, how partly accelerators work or something and on data analysis and stuff like this. So. And we did have mandatory, I'm sure you have this too, like mandatory experimental sessions where we, we had to work with very outdated experimental equipment that won.

Brian Keating

The Nobel Prize in 1914. Yeah, exactly.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, exactly. That kind of stuff. Yeah. And I do think it's necessary though. I wrecked some of this equipment. You know, I wasn't meant to be an experimentalist.

Brian Keating

That's why I never invited you to my labs. You wondered why the Simons Observatory would be in pieces if you were ever. No, we do that ourselves. Let me ask you a different question. Question then. What experiment, if funded, if you were queen of the world, as you are of YouTube and many other domains, if you had this kind of ultimate power and you had the power of the purse, the budget, what experiment do you think would be the most decisive experiment, as Karl Popper called it? What experiment would you most like to see done? Obviously, you know, you've had your criticisms of, you know, the future, circular colliders and so forth, but what experiment would you like to do given, you know, a reasonable, normal budget, say, you know, 30 of all the physics budget for the next 10 years? What. What would you put it on?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Okay, you mean like in the foundations of physics? Sort of like overall, in the entire world?

Brian Keating

Like anything that interests you? Yeah, anything of. It's the Hassenfelder machine. What would it be? Yeah, like a billion postdocs.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Right. Okay. So. So the thing is, like, if it was anything, like, in any discipline of science, I would. I would have to look into the. This closely. Like, I'm sure there are, like, questions that would have a huge societal impact, but I can't pull them out of my head immediately because I've never thought about it. But I have thought about the foundations of physics stuff a lot, and this is what my first book was about, basically.

Sabine Hossenfelder

So, so what should we do in the foundations of physics? And the answer that I arrived at was that we should focus on experiments that could test. Test predictions that we arrived at based on resolving an inconsistency. And so one of the things is quantum gravity, because we need theory of quantum gravity to resolve an inconsistency. And there are people who are looking into the. Into this, but they're like, like a few small groups. And I'm like, can we just throw a few billions at this and get it done, like, within a few years rather than a few decades? Like, so this is one thing. The other thing, which is kind of my pet peeve, is that people don't take the measurement problem, quantum mechanics, seriously enough. And so in this case, the problems actually, not that we don't have data, but I think that they don't analyze the data that they have.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, so, for example, I think there's a possibility, let me just leave it vaguely, that quantum computers might ultimately not behave the way that quantum mechanics actually predicts. And so now you're in this weird situation that quantum Computers actually do things that people don't understand. And then they say, well, they chalk it up to, well, it's just some complicated thing going on and they give it a name and then they parameterize it, but they don't think about, like, what it actually means. And so I'm afraid that because we don't have the theory for it, they don't even know what to look for in the data. And so this is another thing where I would say put a few billions into this. Like, like look for what happens to measurement devices as they get smaller or to quantum systems as they get larger. Like where, where is the Heisenberg cut? Right. So, and, and how much of this can we measure? Like, and there, there are so many things that you could try to test, like what does it depend on? Does it depend on the temperature? Does it depend on the size of the thing? Does it depend on the number of particles or the density, or as Penrose says, on the gravitational energy or something like this? These are all questions that no one's looking at.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And to me this just seems crazy because it's like, like this is something that we would actually need for the technology development in that area. So this is what I would do if you gave me the money. Do you want my bank information now?

Brian Keating

Well, no, I want to do something very risky. So, you know, I'm the principal investigator of the Simons Observatory in Chile at. We just got first light finally on the four telescopes that are down there, three of which are looking for primordial tensor perturbations and the cosmic microwave background B mode polarization. And one of them, the massive 6 meter diameter telescope, can see very fine scale structure in the cmb. But one of the things we're looking for are kind of, you know, departures from the standard model, including things like dark matter and in particular things like axions. Would you say that the kind of case should be closed on axions given the kind of opprobrium that you seem to dish and dish out, at least on your expost. What do you think is the prospect for things like axions or even things like inflation itself? Do you think that we are experimentalists, should be spending some of those hundreds of millions, not billions, but on other pursuits?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Again, those are two different questions like axions and inflation. Let me talk about axions first. People now use the word axions to mean all of kinds, kinds of things. Like it used to be this very specific thing, you know, the, the axial that was introduced by Wilchek and Weinberg that came out of the Pachy Quinn thing and so on. And, and, and that was ruled out already in the 1970s. Right. And, and so then, then people invented other axions and now they actually use the word axions or pseudo axion sometimes if the thing.

Brian Keating

Axion like particles.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Axion like particles or whatnot for our kinds of scalar fields that have all kinds of couplings. So that becomes a very vague question in some sense. And I don't even know what exactly you're looking for. Is it just scalar fields with a low mass or is it this particular coupling to the stress energy and the stress energy, the field tensor or what is it?

Brian Keating

Yeah, we get both. Well the technical way we look for it is through a conversion of the, what's called E mode polarization with the B mode polarization. Polarization which is forbidden to exist unless there's some parity violating or some, you know, Chern Simons like term that gets added to the electromagnetic Lagrangian. So you know, Turner and others came up with this a long time ago. How it would affect, you know, how you could couple basically give the photon mass. I mean they're kind of like massive photons. There's so many of them, they're extremely light, you know, 10 to the -26 EV or something like that. The coupling is extremely weak.

Brian Keating

But they have the right scales and kind of we're ruling out, you know, parameter space both in laboratory settings and in they, you know, could be maybe magically explained, you know, a different kind of whip miracle. They could explain, you know, why these galaxies aren't so cuspy in the small galaxy Problem of structure formation, postdictions, retrodiction to explain the weird phenomena we can't explain with dark matter. But I assume you also maybe have some questions about alternatives to dark matter as well, right? Are you still somewhat favorably inclined towards MOND or MOND like theories?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, you know, I changed my mind about this three times a day. So first of all, maybe, let me say I actually think for the reason you mentioned that particles with a very small mass have a good motivation to be dark matter candidates because they have every reasonable way to be prevent this galaxy cusp issue. And I actually wrote a paper about this with, with a student. Actually the student wrote the paper and my name's on it. That's how it really happened. But yeah, so this is why I know a little bit like fuzzy dark matter is like the, the overarching term because it blurs out this cusp like this is basically the idea and yeah, I mean, it sounds good to me. Devil's in the details. Like, so, so even if you find, find this, how would you know that it actually is a particle? How do you know that you can't also explain it with something else? Like this is this entire, what they call the inverse problem.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like, so if you have the data, how do you know which theory actually was the right one to explain the data? This is why in cosmology, like, they're always trying to fit together several different things so that they can say, well, there was only this one explanation for which everything fit together. But so now do you want me to say something about modified gravity or first about inflation? Because, so first inflation and then, yeah, okay, yeah, inflation. So inflation has exactly the same problem like this. So, so we do have some data that you can explain with inflation, but that doesn't prove that inflation was actually the only way to explain this data. So it's very hard to tell apart inflation from some, some other mechanism that could be the speed of light limit, as I'm sure you're familiar with. Like there are people who say we can do, do this faster than light cosmology, where we have some funky fields that can do weird things. And I think on a mathematical level, they would say they would both the same observational results. And so physicists default on inflation, I think, just because that was the first idea.

Sabine Hossenfelder

But I think on a logical level, as philosophers would say, the theory is underdetermined. We just can't tell them apart. And I think this is something to keep in mind. So I, I'm not against inflation, I'm a little bit against all this inflation potential building, you know, where, where everyone has like five different potentials and then they try to squeeze some predictions out of it. And I'm like, what kind of prediction is this? Like, you just made up the, the potential, right? You might as well make up the prediction. So that doesn't make any sense to me. So that's my perspective on inflation.

Brian Keating

Okay, now, modified gravity.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Modified gravity, yeah, so. So I've always thought of MOND as some kind of phenomenological effective model. So it clearly captures some things that we observe. And so now the question is like, so it undoubtedly in my mind captures some truth, but the question is like, is this indicative of some underlying modified gravity that's different from general relativity, or is it actually any fact that we, we might be able to derive from dark matter if we knew how? So this is why every once in a while, you know that people who Say that actually the effects that we attribute to modified gravity, they're just statistical artifacts. They come from the data analysis or something else that went wrong. So, yes, so. So that I think is the difficult question, like, what do you make out of it? And then of course, there are people who always, like, Mont has been rude, ruled out because of, I don't know, the bullet cluster. Yeah, yeah, the bullet cluster.

Sabine Hossenfelder

So, so. And yeah, yeah, that's true, but the bullet cluster also ruled out dark matter. Right. So. So, I mean, if you look at the details, this is just generally an observation that's difficult to explain one way or the other. And there, there are a couple of other such things. Like, you know, every once in a while someone claims we've seen a galaxy that doesn't have dark matter, or there's a galaxy that's only made of dark matter. And.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And then you look again at this, like five years later, they're like, oh, sorry, this observation went away. It was something else. Or, you know, it was something without data. So I kind of stopped paying attention to it because, you know, a lot of headlines that just disappear. You never hear of them again. So basically, unfortunately, I have to say that the situation is still inconclusive. So we still haven't been able to rule out modified gravity. We still haven't been able to rule out dark matter.

Brian Keating

So where are we going? Yeah, right. What can we do? Speaking of ruling out things that we physicists can't even explain in the first place, dark energy, and in particular the cosmological constant, I have tomorrow video with Kyle Dawson, who is the past spokesperson of the DESI experiment and still a major leader of it. And he was here at UCSD to give a colloquium we talked about about lambda CDM possibly being in mortal danger if not killed at the 4.2-sigma1 and 36,000 chance of being wrong by fluke, what do you make of these measurements that seem to kill the cosmological constant? Your friend Einstein might have been right when he said it was a blunder in the first place.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Right. So I think maybe people need a little bit of context. So what they say they found is that dark energy is actually not constant, but it's getting weaker over time, and there's discrepancy between it being constant and it getting weaker, that is at 4.2-sigma, depending on how you look at the data. So, you know, I'm not sure we need to take these sigmas too seriously. So the issue is, like, there are a lot of tensions in Cosmology, some of which could be be resolved by saying that dark energy actually isn't consolid, but it changes with time. Unfortunately, that's a different time dependence. Like, from a theoretical perspective, that is very confusing. There are also people who have criticized the, the DESI paper have said like it's actually in conflict with some other data.

Sabine Hossenfelder

So, and, and the issue is, the issue with the data analysis, like this is not something that someone like me can reasonably check. Like you just look at the data and they say, oh, we have this data and we did this analysis and this is the result. And then you're like, okay, if they say so, right, what are you going to do about it? I can't spend several months trying to reproduce this plot. So basically what I do is I sit around and wait for other people to do it, people who know what they're talking about. So I'm not sure that I'm making much sense. I guess what I'm trying to say is that I think this is, isn't as high a confidence level as they make it sound. Like 4.2 sigma sounds very convincing, but to me it doesn't feel that high.

Brian Keating

Well, yeah, I mean, feeling, you know, and data. I guess, I guess the question, you know, is it's odd that we seem to know and many, many more sigma that there's something like dark energy. And what's under, you know, kind of attack now is the equation of state. You know, this additional term that generates the evolution of the equation of state. State. It can be measured in many ways. The BAO is just one of them. And the fact that there's these tensions and then there's tensions within the tension.

Brian Keating

So I've said that what we really need is a good psychoanalyst. We need a therapist for the field. That's where the billion dollar Sabina Hassenfelder experiment should go. We should have a team of psychotherapists. But in reality, I think the tensions with intentions, in other words, there's a tension between the Hubble constant and early times and late times and then the different data that see that as well, there'll be a tension between the lambda being a constant or dark energy being a constant or not. So how does one navigate here? I mean, which tension should we take the most seriously?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well, you just take all the data and you feed it into an AI and then you see what comes out. I've actually been seriously thinking about this, but if you think about it for a little while, you see a big problem with it with which might actually be the problem. Which is. Well, first of all, it's not actually a lot of data. And AI does need, at least the current AIs, they need a lot of data for training. And you just, in cosmology, you always think like, it's a lot of data, like, because there are lots of galaxies out there. But then you look at what they actually measure and it's like 3 pixels per galaxy or something, right? And the sample is like 150. So you know, it's like portraying an AI is, it's not a lot to go by.

Sabine Hossenfelder

The other issue is, and other people have made this point much more eloquently than I possibly can, is that this data is all. Well, first of all, you need to exactly understand your instrument because that always has some sort of sampling bias, it has an instrument bias and so on. Then the data, you know, it's got to be evaluated with knowing what the instrument actually can do. Then it's got to be cleaned, it's got to be internal, interpreted. And then often it's a, you know, there's some foreground which you're familiar with. And then often the data is already interpreted with the model in mind. So, you know, for example, redshift is one of those things that they try to attach to the data based on the model that predicted the universe expands with this particular redshift. And so if you only have access to like to the final data data, that becomes a mess, like, because you have, you have no idea really what was actually already, what already went in.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And there are some people who say that I've talked about this in some more details, that this might actually be part of the reason for why we have these tensions. So let me see if I get this, this example together correctly. So there is the cosmological principle, right? The cosmological principle says that if you average the universe on sufficiently large scale scales, then meta should be equally distributed. And so you can ask the question like, what does sufficiently large scales mean? And you can calculate this in the lambda CDM model. Now some people use this to calculate what direction we're moving into, because like the CMB dipole, or you can do the same thing with quasars and so on, on. Because if you want to know what this direction is, you evaluate this relative to the background, which. But now here's the thing. You have calculated by using lambda cdm, so it becomes this.

Sabine Hossenfelder

But you've already put in the model, in calculating what you see what I mean? And so now the issue is a Lot of people who do the analysis, like which model fits the data best, just use the data that has already been massaged by using the model. So this is all. This is complete mess. So data and astrophysics, generally, complete mess. You don't want to touch it unless you really, really have to.

Brian Keating

Right. I did an interview with David Wiltshire of the Timescape Cosmology.

Sabine Hossenfelder

All right.

Brian Keating

And that's hopefully out by the time this video is out. But the, you know, kind of concept that we live in a, you know, in a. A void perhaps, and that these are mimicking what you'd see if you lived in a universe with a cosmological constant or without a cosmological constant at all, or just, you know, some. Some very small or maybe negligible amount of dark energy. Okay, Sabine, I know it's getting late there, but we have a million questions from the audience. I have to ask some of them. Okay. First one, Sabina.

Brian Keating

This comes from Bobby Cosmic. Dear Professor, I would like to hear both of your thoughts on the apparent decline of academia in the United States. States. I've been hearing a lot of negative talk about research in universities. I've been hearing that publication quality and academic rigor are not what they used to be. So how do you respond to Bobby Cosmic?

Sabine Hossenfelder

So I have no particular insights in what's going on in American University in particular recently. I haven't been in the United States for a long time. Of course, I talk to Americans like our host, Brian. Right. So first of all, I'd say that, like the. The decline of academic research is not specific to the United States. Certainly not. We see the same in Europe and in other countries that I hear of.

Sabine Hossenfelder

It's worse in some countries than in others, but that's a different story. I think it's something to do with the overall organization of the scientific system, the way that people are rewarded. We previously talked about the reward function. Right. Your happiness bonus. So scientists who work in academia, they get rewarded for doing certain things, one of which is publishing papers, because then they can apply for more money to get more grants, and it just keeps the cycle going. So. So they continue to be employed.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And this gives them very weird incentives. It. It's a very. It. It makes it very appealing to work on something that's low risk so that you have a high chance for it to get funded so that other. Other people need to appro. And so there's a lot of bias in this system. And they're basically.

Sabine Hossenfelder

It's basically completely. It's a completely closed system because well, first of all, there's peer review. But also if you look at the grant cycle, right, the people who sit on the review panels are the same people you work with. And so there's very little external oversight. And that's bad. And I think it's been going on, on for much too long. People have complained about this pro of these problems, like for 30 years or something. No one's doing anything about it.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And there will come a point where it just falls apart, like, where everyone can see like people like, this is like a complete waste of money. And I think that actually in the foundations of physics, we're pretty close to, to reaching that point.

Brian Keating

Yeah, that was a question by Doc Dealgood. Is there any progress in the foundations of quantum quantum mechanics?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well, yes, I'd say actually for two reasons. One reason is on the experimental side. There's basically progress every day. Like, this is really amazing. This is why I talk so much about quantum technology, because it makes new things possible. We were already talking about the idea of testing quantum gravity in the laboratory. This idea only becomes possible because of advances in quantum tech. And this is like real progress.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Like 10 years ago, people weren't even talking about it. Or maybe they just began talking about it. But you get the idea like. And this is actually driven by, by the ability to put bigger objects into quantum superpositions, better detectors. They're pushing all the quantum limits. So, so there's really something happening on the theoretical side. This has had the effect that there's a revived inter interest in quantum foundations. What's still missing a little bit is people who try to push beyond quantum mechanics.

Sabine Hossenfelder

This is what I've called physics beyond quantum mechanics. Like physics beyond the standard model. I think that's what we need. There are a few theories or models of that type. For example, Penrose is one, generally collapse models, but very few. And I think we need more of them. And then we need to get experimentalists to actually test them because I think there's something to find. This is what I already talked about earlier.

Brian Keating

Yeah, great. Okay. Nemo's YouTube Ask a Little bit of an obnoxious question. Did you really receive a letter from a particle physicist that you made a video about?

Sabine Hossenfelder

It's a real email. And so maybe let me say one thing.

Brian Keating

So he's talking about. First of all, you made a very popular video about six months ago.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, yeah. It was a surprise to me because I thought it was kind of a niche thing and I wanted to get this out. This has been sitting in my, inbox for a long time. It was an email, a very honest email, in my opinion, that I received in response to a criticism I wrote of the community, the foundations of physics in general, but particular about politics. Particle physicists. I said this. So, so I, I know the person who claimed to be sending the email personally. I've met them several times and my husband also knows him.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And so I, I, I showed this to my husband like already when it arrived. And we, we've just, we've talked about this like many times and we're both pretty convinced it's actually the real person. And I also, I looked them up and they still work at this place, but they're pretty close to retirement. And you know, I'm like living that live. Like, what's the point of pissing on their leg now? Yeah, it doesn't really make it.

Brian Keating

Did you agree with their perspective? I mean, in terms of the challenge of the field and ignoring, you know, I trust you implicitly, you know, that you received it and that your feelings are about it and your assessment of it was valid. Valid. But did you believe that they had, you know, legitimate gripes about it and if so, what can be done about it? I mean, can, is there anything practical about their suggestions or were they just complaining?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well, so there's a certain irony actually. So I, I took out the details from what I read, but actually the, the, so the person was going on about that there's, you know, certain models that are all crap and it's just refurbished something. I think this was the phrase that they used. I didn't know this because that was a fear that, that, you know, I don't myself work on that I, it would never happen have occurred to me. So I learned something and I was, you know, I was like, okay, it's the same thing as I see in my own field. And of course I've gotten many other emails from other people, like in completely different disciplines, like everything from, from medicine to computer science, where people say, well, we see the same thing in, in my discipline with this topic or this other topic. But the issue is that those people, they don't want to go on record record. So this is like a general issue.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah. And I mean this is the same problem that I already talked about earlier. So people just have an incentive to make up these things that they can continue getting grant money, whether or not this actually makes any sense. Yeah, I mean it makes sense to them personally because it feeds their family. But from a scientific research perspective, it doesn't make any sense. And So I think, I mean, I.

Brian Keating

Think in experimental, well, it's hard to, we should break down, you know, what they. Some other time perhaps when we're together in London next in the fall. But, but the notion of, you know, kind of the self interested, you know, pay for health insurance for my family, you know, it's a valid one. But to the extent that scientists don't believe what they're talking about, like for example, I don't, I would say the probability that we'll detect inflation via B mode polarization is very low because there's a huge amount of parameter specific space that we'll never be able to access even if inflation took place. In other words, we won't be able to do any kind of legitimate testing or mapping of the inflaton's potential because we simply won't see it. But that doesn't mean that inflation didn't take place. In other words, we can't falsify or prove inflation. But I don't think that it's illegitimate for me and my colleagues to propose to do these things because if you don't take the shot, you'll never know.

Brian Keating

And, and we may see something which would not ironically be as valid as important for proving inflation, which I don't think is a sensible concept, but for disproving all these other concepts from Stephen Hawking and I talked to Thomas Hertog last week from their model no boundary, all these models that don't predict Penrose's model, Turok Steinhardt, Aegis, all these models that don't predict B modes, in a sense we're doing the opposite, we're trying to falsify those. But anyway, I don't see it as illegitimate. I know that there are people that do it, as you say, to feed their family, but I think the vast majority of people, they're very interested in uncovering some tiny minute piece of the grand puzzle and fabric of science. But we can leave that there. I have a technical question for you from Phil Kalis. Does Sabina think non local models could disprove the mind as machine on argument, could biology perhaps participate in non local physics in irreducible ways not replicable by digital machines?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Well, dear, what I'm going to say about this. Well, so I mean general comment that one could make is that it kind of depends on what you mean by digital machine. So it's a quantum computer digital machine. So there's a, a. I think there's a fair possibility that the brain actually uses quantum effects and if that's the case, then you might need a quantum computer to get something similar to what goes on in the human brain. I think it's kind of unlikely, but I think one can't dismiss it out of hand. So I'm not, I'm not sure I understand the reference to non locality because I don't know exactly what the person means by non locality. So if they just mean non local the same way that quantum mechanics is non local, then I think that should answer the question.

Brian Keating

I think that's right. I think that's what. Okay, just one or two more questions and then we'll wrap up and go on to a very brief extravaganza. So let me just see if there's anything else from the audience here. Okay, the last thing from the audience. How concerned are you, Sabina, about what you've called AI slop? I assume it's quite, quite significant concern in science that these machines can generate infinite numbers of seemingly legitimate scientific research. What is that going to do for the actual scientific method?

Sabine Hossenfelder

It's, it's going to be terrible. And we're only just seeing the beginning of it because it's, it's only just like about now that the models actually become good enough to make reasonably looking plots and produce reasonably, you know, something that is, if you look at it, you can't immediately tell it was written by an AI or it was produced by an AI. And what's going to happen is that journals are going to get completely overrun by this. And I think we're already seeing the beginning of it and it's going to be a huge problem because they'll have to figure out a way to filter out all of the AI slop. And we've seen exactly the same problem already happening in other dispositions disciplines. Like they're just getting overrun with AI slop and they have to figure out very quickly how to deal with it. And that's a real risk. What's going to happen in science is that it becomes much more narrow minded because they'll have to come up with something quickly.

Sabine Hossenfelder

And a reasonable thing to do is probably to go by personal credibility. Like if you look at the person who actually does the submission and then you run into the problem that it becomes, it becomes like a close club or something. Yeah, and, and that's bad because, because I think you need outsiders you put forward to having fresh ideas like, and that's going to hit especially hard people from particular countries because we know that a lot of the junk actually comes from, you know, somewhere in the Middle East. Or something like that. There's some countries where they have a lot of those papers almost going on. And I think, like, the publishers are not remotely prepared for what's to come. Like, think, for example, of the archive. Like that, you know, you and I are used to.

Sabine Hossenfelder

They, they have a moderation queue, right? So if, you know, something comes in and looks a little bit fishy, then their system flags, gets sent to a human moderator. But there are only so many of those because they don't have a lot of money. They're all volunteer years and it can take a very long time already now, like, I have a friend who has two papers in the moderation queue and they've been stuck there for two months. And you can just, I mean, maybe, you know, it's. I shouldn't extrapolate from one data point. Right, but that's a pretty bad example. Like, you'd think, like, if the paper's really crap, they should at least find someone to look at it and just read, reject it. Right.

Sabine Hossenfelder

But what's up? They're not, they're not doing anything. And now, now imagine like people are going begin to submit their AI slop to the archive because they went through one way or the other. It's going to be terrible. Yeah. So this, this is why I'm worried about it.

Brian Keating

Yeah. I think that we'll get back to, you know, what they did in the 1800s. You know, you'll have Marie Curie will stand up at the Royal Institution or, you know, Max Planck and do a demonstration. This glowing film or this glowing rock makes this photographic emulsion exposed. Well, Sabina, what else are you working on? What would you like the listeners to do as a CTA for high CTR, obviously. Your YouTube channel is massive. It's been an inspiration to me. I have what the Germans call Mitt Freude whenever I see you tick past another 100k on your way to 10 million, please, soon.

Brian Keating

Besides science without the gobbledygook quiz with it, where else should people. What should people be excited that's on the horizon from you?

Sabine Hossenfelder

So actually my poor YouTube channel has been doing really badly in the past couple of months now. I've been wondering why. So I'm like wondering, like, wait, wait.

Brian Keating

Wait, you can't say that because you're talking to somebody who's got the square root of the number of subscribers you have. So what do you mean it's been doing badly? You've gotten, you know, 200,000 plus views on every video. I kill for those numbers.

Sabine Hossenfelder

No, no, so, so, so it went down like by a factor 1/2. So for just like really suddenly. And I'm a little bit, you know, distrust about it because I'm not doing anything differently.

Brian Keating

Everybody's seeing that. Everybody. I mean, I've. I've looked at channels with 6 million subscribers and they'll get 50,000 views. I have a friend who's got, you know, literally a 6 million view subscriber channel and he's getting 100,000 thousand views, which is not, you know, less than 10%. I think it's common. I mean, I'm seeing it, but I'm not. Yeah, I was never as big as you, so I don't, I don't know.

Brian Keating

And what's your North Star? I mean, what are you optimizing for? Is it, is it views as, you know, is it some. Something cynical to get more views, you get more adsense revenue? I mean, I can't imagine that. So what's your guiding metric?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, so I mean like the. I've given up on the ad revenue because, you know, they have this issue that your video has to be longer than eight minutes or something. And most of my videos are like 7 minutes, 30 seconds or something. So I've just, I've just given up on this. No, but I'm, I'm. I'm. The reason it bothers me is like I'm. I'm wondering like, am I doing something wrong? Like, should, should I.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Do I have to improve something? I mean, of course we all have fluctuations like ups and downs and I know I've seen a couple of those, but. But none of that was that sudden such. And so, so severe for no particular reason. Like every once in a while, you know, I make a video that upsets a lot of people and you know that there'll be like 100 people unsubscribe or something and. Okay, that's fine with me. But there wasn't anything like it. Like there was no trigger or anything.

Brian Keating

Right.

Sabine Hossenfelder

So I have no idea.

Brian Keating

I think that's happening a lot. I think there's just so much content out there, especially with AI channel channels. I was always, you know, curious why you don't do, you know, videos like this podcast basically format or, or, you know, we are in front of a green screen mostly for your videos. But you know, maybe it's. People find it more authentic when you're. I stopped using a green screen about six months ago. Not that I can give advice to you, but. But people seem to like, you know, sitting at a Table and, and you know, just talking to the camera.

Brian Keating

Like your vlog you put up yesterday, a couple days days ago, you walking in the woods. It's very vulnerable, it's very authentic. What about more content like that?

Sabine Hossenfelder

Yeah, well, I've been thinking about it but it's, it's always like there's a lot of information that I need to compress quickly into my, into my new summaries and the green screen just works very well for that sort of thing and we have an established routine that I can't just unroot one day to, to the next. So of course I've, I've been thinking about it. Yeah, so. So you asked some question, but I'm kind of getting cognitively tired so.

Brian Keating

Yeah, well, maybe we'll finish up. But, but they, but I have seen a lot of people's channels, you know, in, in severe view decline. I do think it's because of the sport, you know, the, the infinite number of choices that we have. The AI slop of talking head videos, you know, that they can make an infinite number number of. You know, just search the archive and put up some paper and, or search your. I think what they're doing is they're searching your, your feed and then just making a bunch of, you know, shorter form content and trying to front run. You know, you mentioned something on X and they'll say, oh, she's going to make a video about it, so. But we don't have to talk inside baseball.

Brian Keating

I'll ask you a question. I have a professional, you know, question to ask you at least about YouTube, but I can't do it online because it's highly confidential. So we'll stop the interview now. But are you working on another book or just, just.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Oh, right now I remember you asked me what I'm working on. Yeah, maybe I've tried working on another book but it didn't progress very far like. So it's stuck at something like 5,000 words, which is not a terrible lot. I've actually recently, you may laugh about it, but I've returned to working on a paper about the foundations of quantum mechanics because I feel like this is like my life's work and I need to finish it and I need to get it out before I die and so.

Brian Keating

Yeah, well, I can't wait for that to come out. You'll come back on hopefully when that comes out. So quiz with it. I'll put a link to it. I might make a short, just where we talked about. Quiz with it and I'll put it up as a. As an homage to you and everything you do as a kind of an advertisement because I use it and I find it very helpful. There are very few tools, just on a technical level, that scrape the YouTube transcript so flawlessly and so efficiently so I can use it.

Sabine Hossenfelder

I'm so happy you say this. You wouldn't believe how much of a headache it was to get.

Brian Keating

I know how much of a headache it is because I try to do it myself with, you know, my 14 year old kid and it just doesn't work. So I have him making 3D printed brains instead. But Sabina, we'll see each other in a few days. By the time this comes out, I will see each other in London. I can't wait to see you. Maybe we'll do an in person quick, quick post because we haven't been well. We were in person at Peter thiel's house in 2018 when your first book came out. And then before that it was 2010 in Stockholm where you invited me to give a lecture on the foundations of quantum gravity or Future of Quantum Gravity Conference with Lee Smolin.

Sabine Hossenfelder

15 years. Crazy.

Brian Keating

I know as well. My wife was pregnant. You were pregnant, I think. I don't know how you do it all, but you do it so wonderfully. Sabine Hasenfelder, thank you so much.

Sabine Hossenfelder

Thank you.

Brian Keating

Free will or determinism? Quantum computers or classical? These are questions that touch everything around us, from AI development to quantum mechanics itself to how we live our daily life. I thoroughly enjoyed Sabina's perspective and I know you'll enjoy this deep dive episode with Robert Sapolsky where we explore his research on behavior and biology that led him to conclude that free will is a complete illusion and what that could mean for society, justice and human responsibility. Don't forget to like, comment and subscribe.

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More from this recording

🔖 Titles
  1. Do AI and Humans Have Free Will? Sabine Hossenfelder on Physics, Consciousness, and Determinism

  2. Could AI Ever Feel Happiness? Exploring Free Will, Quantum Computing, and Consciousness

  3. Sabine Hossenfelder Explains Why Free Will Might Be an Illusion in Physics and AI

  4. The Future of AI Agency: Free Will, Quantum Computers, and Human Uniqueness

  5. Brian Keating and Sabine Hossenfelder Debate AI, Determinism, and the Fate of Free Will

  6. From Particles to AI: Sabine Hossenfelder on Determinism and the Limits of Agency

  7. Will AI Replace Professors? Education, Free Will, and Intelligence in the Age of Machines

  8. Quantum Computing, AI, and Free Will: Understanding Consciousness with Sabine Hossenfelder

  9. AI Slop and the Future of Science: Sabine Hossenfelder on Technology’s Impact

  10. Foundations of Physics, AI, and Humanity: Deep Questions with Sabine Hossenfelder and Brian Keating

💬 Keywords

free will, determinism, laws of physics, artificial intelligence, quantum computing, consciousness, agency, large language models, quantum mechanics, measurement problem, AI emotions, robot intelligence, education and AI, Quiz With It, future of professors, academic decline, peer review, theories of everything, modified gravity, dark matter, inflation, cosmological constant, dark energy, MOND, quantum gravity, quantum superposition, AI slop, foundation of physics, scientific publishing, academic incentives

💡 Speaker bios

Brian Keating is a renowned scientist and communicator who often explores profound questions at the intersection of physics and philosophy. In conversations with leading thinkers like Sam Harris, Sabine Hossenfelder, Dan Dennett, and Robert Sapolsky, Keating grapples with the concept of determinism—the idea that everything in the universe is governed by physical laws and that free will may be an illusion. Despite engaging deeply with the unsettling implications of a deterministic universe, Keating finds joy and curiosity in life’s mysteries. He is especially intrigued by the paradox that, although leading experts argue against the existence of free will, everyone continues to live and act as if they possess it. Through his thoughtful inquiries and public discussions, Keating encourages audiences to confront big questions while maintaining optimism and wonder.

💡 Speaker bios

Brian Keating is a curious explorer at the intersection of science and philosophy, diving headfirst into some of humanity’s biggest questions: free will versus determinism, and quantum versus classical computing. As a passionate science communicator, Brian brings together cutting-edge thinkers—like Robert Sapolsky and Sabina Hossenfelder—to discuss how fundamental research in behavior, biology, and physics shapes not only AI and quantum mechanics, but also our understanding of justice, society, and what it means to be human. Through engaging conversations and deep-dive episodes, Brian makes it his mission to unravel complex ideas and spark thoughtful debate for audiences everywhere.

💡 Speaker bios

Sabine Hossenfelder is a theoretical physicist and science communicator known for exploring deep questions about reality, such as free will and determinism. In her storytelling, Sabine shares a personal journey: struggling with the unsettling idea that, since our brains are made of particles governed by the laws of physics, our sense of personal agency seems to vanish. This created a philosophical dilemma for her—how can one find their place in a world where everything is determined, except for some randomness? Through careful thought and explanation, Sabine eventually found peace with this perspective, shifting her understanding of herself and her place in the universe. Her ability to weave personal insights with scientific explanation is a hallmark of her work, making complex topics accessible and relatable to her audience.

ℹ️ Introduction

Welcome to The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast! In this thought-provoking episode, host Brian Keating sits down with physicist and bestselling author Sabine Hossenfelder for a deep dive into one of humanity's most persistent philosophical puzzles: does free will really exist? Sabine doesn’t shy away from controversial ideas—she argues that, according to our best understanding of physics, free will is an illusion. But if the universe is deterministic, how come we all act as if we have freedom of choice?

Together, Brian and Sabine unravel what determinism truly means for our lives, whether artificial intelligence could ever possess agency, and why the coming age of AI forces us to rethink what “will” even is. The discussion goes further, touching on the frontiers of quantum computing, the future of education in the age of AI, and whether emotions—or even “happy thoughts”—could ever be part of machine consciousness.

The episode also ventures into lively tangents: from UFOs and alien intelligence, to the reproducibility crisis in academia, and the nuanced debates raging in quantum physics and cosmology. Sabine shares insights from her platform “Quiz With It,” provides honest perspectives on the state of scientific research, and suggests the kinds of experiments she would fund if she were “queen of physics.”

With wisdom, humor, and clarity, Brian and Sabine challenge us to confront the hardest questions at the intersection of science, philosophy, and technology. Tune in for a conversation that will shift your understanding of agency, consciousness, and the future of human—and artificial—thinking.

📚 Timestamped overview

00:00 Understanding free will involves grappling with determinism and the laws of physics. The video's focus is on reconciling personal identity with these concepts, ultimately finding peace despite the deterministic nature of the universe.

09:13 Reaching human-level intelligence is possible without direct sensory input, but it would be slow. The quickest way is through real-world interaction, allowing learning from causal relations and efficient data collection, much like human development.

14:32 Future of education with AI; concerns over job security for professors. Will AI replace human educators or augment them with virtual experiences?

16:09 Create quizzes from YouTube video transcripts to enhance learning and reward users, highlighting AI's potential impact on education.

24:53 We're stuck with suboptimal investments in current tech, like battery cars and large language models, and need significant investment to reach better solutions.

30:40 Advocates for more public scientific debates but criticizes focus on "theory of everything."

36:11 Quantum computers might not behave as predicted by quantum mechanics, and lack of understanding and theory limits research on influencing factors like device size, quantum system scale, and conditions such as temperature or gravitational energy.

41:44 Determining the correct theory in cosmology is challenging, as multiple theories like inflation can fit the data, but alternatives may exist. Physicists often default to inflation due to its precedence despite indistinguishable observational outcomes from other models.

43:30 MOND may capture real phenomena, but it's unclear if it's due to modified gravity or misinterpretations like statistical artifacts; the debate is ongoing, especially with challenges like the bullet cluster.

49:49 Understanding and interpreting data requires knowing instrument biases and cleaning, with pre-existing models potentially influencing analysis.

57:13 Surprised by niche critique response email on physics community politics.

59:57 It's hard to test inflation due to limitations, but pursuing scientific inquiry is still valid even if results are uncertain.

01:04:20 Relying solely on personal credibility for submissions can create an exclusive club, limiting fresh ideas and disproportionately affecting certain regions. This issue is amplified by unprepared publishers facing increasing volumes from places with notorious submission practices.

01:10:11 Content decline is due to overwhelming choices and AI-generated videos.

📚 Timestamped overview

00:00 Free Will and Determinism Debate

09:13 Intelligence: Reality Access Required

14:32 The Future of Education in AI

16:09 AI Quiz App Revolutionizes Learning

24:53 Investment Bias in Technology Advancement

30:40 Evaluating Debate Culture in Science

36:11 Quantum Computers: Unpredicted Behaviors?

41:44 Evaluating Cosmological Theories

43:30 "MOND vs. Dark Matter Debate"

49:49 Data Interpretation Challenges Explained

57:13 Honest Response to Physics Critique

59:57 Uncertainty in Proving Inflation Theory

01:04:20 Personal Credibility vs. Open Access

01:10:11 "View Decline and AI Content"

❇️ Key topics and bullets

Certainly! Here’s a comprehensive sequence of topics covered in the transcript, with detailed sub-topic bullets under each main section:


1. The Question of Free Will

  • Philosophical and scientific debate on the existence of free will

  • Perspectives from prominent thinkers (Sam Harris, Dan Dennett, Robert Sapolsky)

  • The paradox: acting as if we have free will despite determinism

  • Sabine Hossenfelder’s view: free will as a problematic or even "nonsense" term

  • Determinism and its impact on personal happiness and worldview

  • The role of understanding oneself as an information-processing system

2. Artificial Intelligence and Agency

  • Connections between human agency and AI agency

  • Whether AI could have "free will" or a form of agency

  • Comparing current AI capabilities to human will and internal deliberation

  • The spectrum from simple machines (phones) to modern AI and humans

  • The evolution of AI toward more autonomy (AI agents setting and refining their own goals)

  • Philosophical and ethical considerations as AI becomes more sophisticated

3. AI and Consciousness

  • Can AI have "happy thoughts"?

  • Whether embodiment (having a physical robot body) is necessary for true intelligence

  • The idea of simulating AI embodiment in virtual environments

  • The evolutionary origins and functions of human emotions like happiness

  • AI reward functions and potential analogs to emotional experience

  • Speculation about future AI developing novel “emotions” unrecognizable to humans

  • Comparisons with hypothetical alien emotions

4. The UFO and Alien Life Discourse

  • Personal interest in discovering advanced extraterrestrial life

  • Skepticism about current UFO/UAP claims and the need for rigorous investigation

  • Institutional reactions, funding motivations, and the balance between open-mindedness and skepticism

5. AI in Education and Job Security

  • Introduction to the Quiz With It platform and its AI-powered functionalities

  • The impact of AI on the future of education (professors’ job security, personalized learning)

  • The changing roles and value of human educators

  • Discussion about the limits of AI in recreating historical figures as educators

  • Differences between written academic records and authentic personal presence

6. AI Replacing Human Teachers

  • How current AI tools may already surpass some human teachers in personalization and efficiency

  • The enduring role of human interaction and mentorship in education

  • Predicted trajectory: initial job displacement for some, lasting opportunities for genuinely skilled and dedicated educators

7. Lock-In and Technological Evolution

  • “Lock-in” effects: How early technology choices shape the trajectory of future developments

  • The example of train gauges and their impact on space shuttle design

  • The potential downsides of relying on current AI architectures (GPUs + LLMs)

  • Discussion on specialized hardware (NPUs) and new AI paradigms

  • Economic and institutional inertia resisting technological shifts

8. Quantum Computing: Potential and Hype

  • The real and anticipated applications of quantum computers (simulation, breaking encryption, optimization)

  • Assessment of industry interest, especially in finance and banking

  • Debate over whether the quantum computing “hype” is justified given current limitations

9. Debate Culture and Theories of Everything in Physics

  • The rise of public scientific debates and their utility

  • Critique of the obsession with “theories of everything” versus focusing on other foundational or practical topics

  • Perspectives on non-mainstream “grand theories” from various physicists

10. Experimental Literacy for Theorists

  • The importance of experimental knowledge for theoretical physicists

  • Typical training (hands-on experiments, outdated apparatus, mandatory experimental lessons)

  • Personal anecdotes about handling (and mishandling) experimental equipment

11. Prioritizing Fundamental Physics Experiments

  • If given vast resources, which foundational experiments are most worthwhile?

  • Emphasis on experiments probing quantum gravity and the quantum measurement problem

  • Targeting inconsistencies and uninvestigated areas in quantum foundations

12. Dark Matter, Axions, and Modifications of Gravity

  • Spectrum of what “axions” and “axion-like particles” mean in current physics

  • Technical methods for searching for axions (effects on CMB polarization, parity violation)

  • The challenges of distinguishing between dark matter, modified gravity, and underdetermined models

  • Perspectives on the cyclical nature of claims and retractions in cosmological observations (bullet cluster, dark matter-free galaxies, etc.)

  • Modified gravity (e.g., MOND) versus dark matter: continuing inconclusive debates

13. Dark Energy, Lambda-CDM Model, and Cosmological Tensions

  • Recent findings suggesting time-varying dark energy vs. cosmological constant

  • Caution regarding the statistical significance (sigma) of new measurements

  • Challenges in data analysis due to processing, cleaning, instrument bias, and model-dependence

  • Complicated landscape of tensions and uncertainties in cosmology

14. The State of Academia and Scientific Research Culture

  • Perceptions and critiques of academic decline (publication quality, incentives, peer review inefficiencies)

  • Global patterns versus differences in the US and Europe

  • The self-rewarding, closed-loop aspect of academic incentives

  • Anticipation of a systemic reckoning or overhaul

15. Progress in Quantum Foundations

  • Advances on the experimental and theoretical fronts in quantum physics

  • The rise of quantum technologies enabling new foundational tests

  • Need for more speculative models (“physics beyond quantum mechanics”) and experimental tests targeting these frontiers

16. Academic Integrity and “Slop” in Research

  • Real anecdote of a letter from a disillusioned particle physicist highlighting issues in research culture

  • Structural incentive problems: “refurbished” models and the pressure to publish

  • Broad applicability of these worries across disciplines

  • Nuanced stance on pursuit of science for incremental understanding, even in uncertain areas

17. AI Slop and the Threat to Scientific Publishing

  • The impending flood of AI-generated, low-quality (“slop”) scientific publications

  • Threats to peer review and moderation (e.g., archive moderation queues becoming overwhelmed)

  • Possibility that scientific publishing becomes a closed club, reducing diversity and innovation

  • Broader parallels seen in other fields already affected by AI-content generation

18. Personal Reflections and Future Work

  • Discussion of YouTube content creation, audience trends, and metrics

  • The struggle with shifting viewership patterns and platform algorithms

  • Prospective projects (future books, unfinished papers on quantum foundations)

  • The broader mission: improving public understanding and maintaining integrity in science communication


Let me know if you need even deeper sub-topic breakdowns or want to focus on a specific section!

👩‍💻 LinkedIn post

🚀 Just had the chance to dig into the latest episode of The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast with physicist Sabine Hossenfelder and host Brian Keating. The discussion dives deep into the nature of free will, artificial intelligence, and the future of scientific research—highly recommended for anyone interested in where science and philosophy intersect!

Here are my top 3 takeaways:

  • Free Will Revisited: Sabine Hossenfelder challenges the very definition of free will, suggesting that, whether in humans or AI, it's more about "agency" than the freedom of choice. She even calls "free will" a "nonsense term" and frames both human and machine behavior through the lens of information processing and determinism.

  • AI, Emotion, and Agency: The episode explores the frontier of artificial intelligence, questioning if and when AI might experience emotions or develop “agency” akin to humans. Sabine suggests that while AI's current level of agency is low, advancements are accelerating—raising real questions for society about the rights and responsibilities of intelligent machines.

  • The Future of Science & Academia: They delve into the challenges academic research faces—from AI-generated "slop" flooding journals to the problems of institutional incentives and peer review. Sabine highlights both the huge potential and the looming risks as AI transforms scientific tools, education, and even foundational research methods.

If you're fascinated by the crossroads of AI, quantum physics, and the big philosophical questions, this episode is a must-listen.

🔗 Check out the episode and let’s start a conversation: Do YOU think free will survives in the age of machines?

#AI #FreeWill #QuantumPhysics #PodcastInsights #FutureOfScience #SabineHossenfelder #BrianKeating

🧵 Tweet thread

🧵1/ Does free will REALLY exist, or is it an illusion? Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder (@skdh) and @DrBrianKeating just had a mind-bending conversation that may change how you see agency, AI, and your own mind. Get ready for some spicy takes!👇

2/ Sabine doesn't mince words: "Free will doesn't exist"—at least not how we usually imagine it. She argues that our brains are made of particles, fully bound by the laws of physics. So, where’s the “freedom” in that? 🤔

3/ But here's the paradox: If all our choices are determined, why do we FEEL like we're choosing? Brian Keating calls out leading minds (Sam Harris, Dan Dennett, Robert Sapolsky): None of them have ever met someone who acts like they lack free will!

4/ So what IS free will? Sabine says the whole concept is a “nonsense term.” If your will determines your actions, they're not truly “free.” But she doesn’t see this as depressing. In fact, she says it freed her: She made peace with being an “information processor.”🧠

5/ What gets wild is the implication for AI: If our agency is an illusion born from complex processing, could AI have similar “agency”—and should we count its choices? Sabine is skeptical—for now, AI's “will” is even more limited than a human's.

6/ AI already has “reward functions”—literally its own version of dopamine! As AI advances, Sabine predicts they could even develop something akin to emotions, though they'd be as alien to us as (hypothetical) alien feelings. 🤖

7/ Education is about to be revolutionized, too! Sabine’s platform “Quiz With It” uses AI to generate personalized quizzes from any content. She predicts mediocre educators will be replaced by AI—but says the “human touch” in great teaching will always have value.✨

8/ On “lock-in,” Sabine warns that our obsession with current AI models (LLMs + GPUs) could trap us on a “local maximum” and leave us blind to better approaches. Don’t be surprised if a new AI paradigm overtakes LLMs in the next few years.

9/ People ask about quantum computing: Sabine sees the hype but says banks and hedge funds are racing ahead for real-world uses (like asset management). She’s skeptical about “quantum supremacy” but thinks there’s money to be made!

10/ At the end of the day, Sabine pushes for experiments that challenge the core assumptions—the kind that could actually TEST things like quantum gravity, the measurability of “free will,” or the limits of AI consciousness.

11/ TL;DR—Your choices may be determined, but understanding that liberates rather than limits you. AI is not “alive” yet, but the lines between information processors—organic or artificial—are getting blurrier by the day.

12/ Want a reality check on free will, AI agency, or why the future of education might be AI-powered? Dive into the full conversation with @DrBrianKeating & @skdh. You may never see your “choices” the same way again! 🔗 [Add your podcast/video link here]

#AI #FreeWill #Philosophy #TechEthics #QuantumComputing #Education #Agency

End🧵

🗞️ Newsletter

Subject: Do We Really Have Free Will? Sabine Hossenfelder on The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast


Hello INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE community!

This week’s episode is all about a question that’s puzzled philosophers, physicists, and everyday thinkers for centuries: Does free will actually exist? Or are we, as physicist Sabine Hossenfelder provocatively puts it, just very sophisticated information-processing machines running the universe’s program?

Here’s a taste of what you’ll hear:

Sabine Hossenfelder (author, physicist, YouTuber) joins Brian Keating for a vibrant, mind-bending discussion that goes far beyond academic philosophy. Sabine lays out why, from a physics perspective, free will—as we commonly imagine it—just doesn’t make sense. But don’t despair! As she describes her personal journey from feeling depressed about this idea to actually feeling liberated by it, you might find yourself looking at your own daily “choices” in a new light.

Highlights from the conversation include:

  • Why the phrase “free will” might be a nonsense term—according to Sabine, we should really be talking about determinism and agency.

  • How questions about free will are becoming urgently relevant with the rise of artificial intelligence. If we don’t have free will, could AI ever have it? And does it matter?

  • Can an AI or a robot ever have an authentic “happy thought,” like Einstein’s famous moment of realization in the elevator thought experiment? What would “happiness” even mean for a machine?

  • The future of education: Will AI put professors out of work—or make personalized, high-quality learning accessible to all?

  • A candid look at “AI slop”: Why the flood of machine-generated content might become science’s next great challenge.

  • The ongoing mysteries and debates in cosmology, quantum mechanics, and the possibility of intelligent life out there (aliens, anyone?).

Notable Quotes from Sabine:

“I began to think of myself as an information-processing thing that goes through the world... It’s made me more aware of the information I consume and how much it affects me.”

“I say AI doesn’t have free will exactly the same way we don’t have free will—because in both cases, it’s determined.”

“Will AI ever become truly intelligent without a body? You can simulate a body in virtual reality, but I think access to the real world is going to be a game changer.”


Don’t miss out on:

  • Sabine’s thoughts on quantum computing hype, MOND and dark matter, and the infamous “academic slop” threatening genuine scientific discovery.

  • A sneak peek at Sabine’s “Quiz With It” platform that’s changing how we learn (and letting us challenge ourselves with custom quizzes drawn from any text or YouTube video!).

  • Behind-the-scenes reflections on science communication, from YouTube channel struggles to the importance of in-person debates.

Listen to the full episode for a whirlwind tour of physics, philosophy, AI, and the future of learning—served with Sabine’s trademark clarity and wit.

🎧 [Listen Now]

Let us know what you think: Is free will just an illusion? Can AI ever have agency? Hit reply—we’re eager to hear your thoughts!

All the best from “INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE,”
Brian & The Podcast Team


P.S. Thanks for being part of our community! Please like, rate, and review the show on your favorite app—it helps others find us and join the big conversations.


Transcript attached for anyone hungry for all the details and nuance!


Stay curious,
Stay Impossible.

❓ Questions

Absolutely! Here are 10 discussion questions inspired directly by the episode of The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast featuring Sabine Hossenfelder and Brian Keating:

  1. How does Sabine Hossenfelder define determinism, and in what ways does she argue that the traditional concept of “free will” is a “nonsense term”?

  2. Brian Keating mentions that although prominent thinkers like Sam Harris and Dan Dennett reject the existence of free will, people still behave as if they have it. Why do you think there is this disconnect between philosophical belief and lived experience?

  3. Hossenfelder suggests that both humans and AI lack free will in the same fundamental, deterministic way. In what ways does she distinguish between the “agency” of humans, current AI, and devices like smartphones?

  4. Do you agree with the idea that increasing “agency” in AI (such as setting and revising its own goals) blurs the line between machine behavior and human will? Why or why not?

  5. When discussing AI emotions, Hossenfelder draws parallels between biological reward functions (like dopamine for happiness) and AI reward structures. Can an artificial system really experience happiness, or is this just an analogy?

  6. The episode touches on the implications of “lock in” in technological development, using historical anecdotes like the train gauge determined by the width of horses in Rome. How might this kind of technological inertia impact the future of AI and computing?

  7. Sabine expresses caution about overhyping quantum computing and questions the breadth of its genuine usefulness beyond specialized applications. What do you think are the most realistic—and overblown—predictions for quantum computing?

  8. In discussing AI’s impact on education, both speakers ponder if professors and traditional teaching roles could be replaced by AI “avatars” or simulated versions of great scientists. What would be lost or gained in such a scenario?

  9. Hossenfelder raises serious concerns about the influx of “AI slop” (AI-generated low-quality scientific content) in research publication. How might this development threaten the scientific process, and what solutions could help mitigate this problem?

  10. Throughout the episode, Hossenfelder stresses the importance of focusing scientific resources on foundational experiments, particularly ones that could resolve inconsistencies in physics. If you had the “Hossenfelder machine” budget, what fundamental physics question would you want to answer, and how would you pursue it?

Feel free to use these for classroom or discussion group prompts!

curiosity, value fast, hungry for more

✅ Can AI ever have free will—or is it all just an illusion?
✅ Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder joins Brian Keating on The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast to tackle this mind-bending question, from the laws of physics to the future of consciousness.
✅ Dive deep as they explore what determinism means for humans and machines, how AI could develop its own version of agency, and why our understanding of reality may never be the same.
✅ Ready to rethink everything you thought you knew about choice, intelligence, and agency? Hit play and unlock a new perspective!

Conversation Starters

Absolutely! Here are 10 conversation starters based on this episode of The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast with Sabine Hossenfelder and Brian Keating. Each one is designed to spark thoughtful discussion in your Facebook group:

  1. Do you agree with Sabine Hossenfelder that free will is a "nonsense term"? Why or why not? How do you personally define free will, and does that definition hold up against the laws of physics as we know them?

  2. Can AI ever experience emotions like happiness or curiosity without having a body? Sabine debated whether robots would need physical form or just a simulation to reach true intelligence. Where do you stand?

  3. Would you ever trust an AI “professor” over a human teacher? With tools like “Quiz With It” and the rise of AI in education, do you think human interaction is critical for learning, or are AI tutors the future?

  4. Are we ‘locked in’ to current AI technology like LLMs and GPUs the way old technologies locked in civilization? Brian brought up the idea of technological lock-in. How might this limit (or help) future advances?

  5. Could quantum computers reveal that we fundamentally misunderstand reality? Sabine discusses the measurement problem and the possibility that quantum computers might behave in ways that defy current quantum mechanics. Do you think we’re missing something big?

  6. Is the search for a “Theory of Everything” good for science, or a distraction? Sabine expressed skepticism about the focus on this. Should physics chase grand unification, or focus elsewhere?

  7. What experiment would YOU fund if budget was no object? Sabine fantasized about putting billions into quantum gravity and the measurement problem. Where would you put research money to unlock the next big discovery?

  8. Is academia in decline, and if so, what should be done about it? Referencing the discussion on declining rigor and publication quality—what’s your experience or observation?

  9. Do you worry about “AI slop” flooding science and academia? Sabine predicts journals will be overrun with AI-generated junk. How should the scientific community respond?

  10. What do you think about the tension in cosmology around dark energy and the cosmological constant? Is it a data problem, a theory problem, or a sign we’re missing something deeper?

Feel free to personalize these for your group's interests and watch the comments roll in!

🐦 Business Lesson Tweet Thread

Free will is an illusion? Great—let’s talk about what that means for AI, humans, and how we build the future. 🧵👇

1/ The question isn’t “do we have free will?” It’s: How do deterministic machines (like us, or AI) feel so much like we do?

2/ Sabine Hossenfelder argues both brains and AI are information processors—agency is just complex computation, not magic. If you feel in charge, it’s your wiring.

3/ That’s why AI “agency” isn’t a leap—just a matter of degree. Phones, ChatGPT, humans: all operate via inputs, deliberation, and outputs. We only feel special because we mistake complexity for freedom.

4/ What about “happiness” or emotions for AI? Sabine says it’s just reward functions, dopamine for robots. Emotions evolved as tools. AI’s reward systems today are primitive—but the line is blurring.

5/ So, if you’re building tech: Don’t romanticize “will” or “emotion.” Optimize feedback loops and learning. Consciousness isn’t a binary; it’s emergent complexity stacked over time.

6/ The real danger? “Lock-in.” Early choices in tech—GPUs, LLMs—determine our road for decades. Breakthroughs will come from questioning the defaults, not optimizing the status quo.

7/ AI slop—endless generated content—will drown mediocre work. Human creativity won’t vanish, but the bar for novelty is rising fast. Iterate boldly, or risk going obsolete.

8/ Education and science aren’t safe, either. Most lectures? Replaceable. Only the best teachers—those who add real human value—will thrive in the new era.

9/ Embrace uncomfortable truths. Determinism isn’t the enemy of entrepreneurship; it’s a call to maximize your algorithm for growth and meaning, on every level.

10/ Don’t wait for permission. The future is built by those who understand the game—and rewrite the rules anyway.

END.

✏️ Custom Newsletter

Subject: 🎙️ Does AI Have Free Will? Dive Into the Mind-Bending New Podcast Episode!

Hey podcast fam,

We’re back with another thought-provoking episode of The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast, and trust us—you do not want to miss this one! This week, host Brian Keating sits down with renowned physicist and YouTube star Sabine Hossenfelder to tackle one of the oldest (and juiciest) questions in science and philosophy: Does free will really exist—or is it all just physics?

Get comfy, because this conversation will bend your brain in the best way.

🎧 In this episode, you’ll learn:

  1. What determinism really means—and why it might actually bring some people peace
    Sabine shares her journey from existential angst to acceptance in a universe ruled by physics.

  2. Whether artificial intelligence could ever truly have “free will”
    Forget sci-fi—this is a real scientific question with big implications for our future.

  3. How quantum computing could reveal hidden truths (or hype) about the universe
    Is quantum supremacy overblown? Sabine’s insights will surprise you.

  4. Why the foundations of physics—and the way we do science—might be overdue for an overhaul
    Get ready for an honest look at what’s not working in academia (and why AI “slop” in research is a growing problem).

  5. How AI is already reshaping education, creativity, and even emotion
    From “robotamine” (yep!) to the future of learning from Einstein’s avatar, this discussion covers it all.

🚀 Fun Fact from the Episode:
Sabine and Brian actually dig into whether an AI could ever have a “happy thought” like Einstein’s famous realization about free fall (in German, no less!). You'll find out why “robotamine” might be more than just a joke about robot emotions—and what it means for the future of artificial intelligence.

Thanks for being part of our curious, open-minded community! This episode is packed with ideas that connect science, technology, philosophy, and real life. Whether you’re a believer in free will, a determinist, or just love a good debate, you’ll come away with new ways to think about your own choices… (or lack thereof 😉).

🎬 Ready to go INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE?
Listen to the latest episode now and let us know what you think:
👉 Listen Here & Subscribe!

Hit reply with your thoughts, or share the episode and tag us on social—let’s get this conversation started!

See you in the unexplored,

The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Team

P.S. Don’t forget to check out Sabine’s platform “Quiz With It” and subscribe to both her and our YouTube channels for more science without the gobbledygook!

🎓 Lessons Learned

Sure! Here are 10 lessons covered in the episode, each with a concise title and short description:

  1. Free Will Is Illusory
    Humans feel agency, but physics and neuroscience suggest our choices are fully determined, creating a persistent paradox.

  2. Defining Free Will Matters
    The debate hinges on definitions—philosophers and scientists often talk past each other due to ambiguity around “free will.”

  3. Determinism and Human Behavior
    While we act as if we choose freely, our brains and actions are determined by particle physics and external inputs.

  4. AI’s Agency Questioned
    As AI grows more sophisticated, determining its “agency” and whether it can possess free will becomes increasingly relevant.

  5. Emotions and AI
    Current AI lacks true emotions like happiness, but future AI may develop analogs through reward functions and virtual experiences.

  6. AI’s Impact on Education
    AI will radically transform education, offering personalized learning but also threatening to replace less passionate educators.

  7. Technology Lock-In Risks
    Past choices in technology shape present limitations—AI and computing may be constrained by foundational decisions, slowing innovation.

  8. Quantum Computing’s Real Use
    Quantum computing is promising for optimization and encryption, but its practical, world-changing applications remain uncertain.

  9. Cosmology’s Unsolved Mysteries
    The fields of dark matter, modified gravity, and cosmic inflation remain unresolved, with experiments yet to provide definitive answers.

  10. Science at a Crossroads
    Academic incentives, AI-generated research, and data overload threaten scientific rigor, calling for reforms to preserve research quality.

10 Surprising and Useful Frameworks and Takeaways

Absolutely, here are the ten most surprising and useful frameworks and takeaways from this episode of "The INTO THE IMPOSSIBLE Podcast: AI Has Free Will? (ft. Sabine Hossenfelder)" with Brian Keating and Sabine Hossenfelder:


1. Free Will as a Nonsense Term
Sabine Hossenfelder provocatively argues that the combination of "free" and "will" doesn’t really make sense from a physics perspective. Instead of debating endlessly what free will means, she suggests it’s more productive to look at what our current laws of physics actually tell us about agency and determinism.

2. Thinking of Ourselves as Information Processors
Sabine reframes our sense of self, seeing humans as "information processing things" navigating the world. By accepting that everything about us is determined (aside from random quantum elements), we can become more mindful about the information we "consume" and how it shapes us.

3. Agency, Not Absolute Freedom
The most practical definition of “free will” aligns with the idea of “agency” — the degree to which a system’s behavior is driven by internal deliberation versus external inputs. Humans currently have more agency than AIs, but it's a gradient rather than a binary.

4. AI Free Will Is Analogous to Human Free Will
Sabine claims AI does not have free will — but neither do we, in the strict sense. Both humans and AIs are determined by their underlying components. The difference is a matter of degree, not kind, with AI at a much "lower level" of agency right now.

5. True Intelligence Might Require Bodily Experience
Sabine suggests genuine, Einstein-like insight in AI may require sensors and physical interaction with the world, not just pure software or virtual existence. It’s possible to "fake" some learning in simulations, but physical experience accelerates development of real-world intelligence.

6. The Evolution of Emotions in AI
Just as human emotions emerged as reward functions to guide survival, AIs are currently being programmed with reward functions to facilitate learning. The future may bring entirely new "AI emotions" beyond human comprehension, hinting at a potential divergence of machine and human experience.

7. Lock-In and Why It Matters for AI Progress
The conversation highlights technology “lock-in” — how the early choices (like using GPUs, designed for games, for AI) can funnel progress down narrow paths, making radical breakthroughs riskier and less likely within established institutions but possible for newcomers.

8. AI’s Transformational Role in Education
Sabine believes AI will massively disrupt education, automating many teaching functions and outperforming mediocre professors. This could free up passionate educators but also necessitate re-valuing the unique human element in mentorship and inspiration.

9. The Coming Tidal Wave of AI Slop
A critical warning: as AI-generated content becomes nearly indistinguishable from human work, scientific journals and platforms like arXiv risk being flooded with "AI slop" — junk science and plausible-sounding nonsense. This could accelerate clubbiness and gatekeeping in academia, stifling newcomers and genuine innovation.

10. Testing Quantum Gravity and the Measurement Problem
If she had billions in funding, Sabine would focus on "decisive experiments" in quantum foundations, especially testing quantum gravity and the quantum measurement problem. She argues the frontier isn’t always bigger colliders, but rather, smaller, cleverer experiments probing fundamental inconsistencies in our models.


Bonus: Perspective Shifts
Throughout, Sabine demonstrates that scientific progress often comes from changing perspectives—on the meaning of consciousness, the place of quantum computers, or how we define progress in physics. Her content encourages listeners to challenge assumptions and embrace ambiguity where necessary.


These frameworks and takeaways aren’t just intellectually stimulating—they offer practical ways to rethink AI, science, and our own sense of agency in a changing world!

Clip Able

Absolutely! Here are 5 strong social media video clip ideas from the transcript, each at least three minutes long, with snappy titles and suggested captions. These clips dive deep into some of the most thought-provoking parts of the conversation between Brian Keating and Sabine Hossenfelder.


1. "Do We Really Have Free Will? Or Is It an Illusion?"

Timestamps: 00:00:00 – 00:07:07
Caption:
Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder unpacks the age-old question of free will, determinism, and what the laws of physics really mean for our everyday choices. Does agency even make sense for humans… or for artificial intelligence? Dive into the debate!


2. "Can AI Experience Happiness & Emotion?"

Timestamps: 00:07:20 – 00:12:10
Caption:
Could artificial intelligence ever have a “happy thought” like Einstein? Sabine explains how embodiment, reward functions, and possible robot-emotions challenge what we think we know about consciousness—even raising the prospect of emotions that aren’t human at all.


3. "Will AI Replace Professors? The Future of Education"

Timestamps: 00:14:32 – 00:20:50
Caption:
As AI transforms learning, what happens to teachers, professors, and the core human element of education? Sabine and Brian discuss AI-powered platforms, the irreplaceable parts of human teaching, and whether students in 20 years might learn physics from Einstein’s avatar—or from AI alone.


4. "Are We Limiting Ourselves with Tech? The Danger of ‘Lock-In’"

Timestamps: 00:21:14 – 00:27:14
Caption:
Are we stuck on a technology path just because it worked first? Sabine explains “lock-in,” using stories from Roman chariots to GPUs and LLMs, and warns how economic inertia can shape the very tools we use to pursue the future—even in AI and physics research.


5. "Foundations of Physics in Crisis: What Should We Really Be Funding?"

Timestamps: 00:33:43 – 00:37:45
Caption:
If Sabine Hossenfelder controlled the world’s physics budget, which experiment would she greenlight? Hear her bold take on what’s lost in foundational research, why quantum gravity and the measurement problem matter, and how a new focus could transform physics.


If you’d like, I can add more detail or cut shorter highlight reels for Instagram or TikTok. Just let me know what tone or style you want for the edits!

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